Thursday , August 6 2026

Namibia’s GDP Growth Moderates in Q1 2025 Amid Sectoral Challenges.

Namibia’s economy expanded by 2.7% year-on-year in the first quarter of 2025, marking the 16th consecutive quarter of growth, though at a slower pace compared to the 4.8% growth recorded in the same period last year. While the primary and secondary sectors faced challenges, the mining industry showed resilience, with uranium and metal ores driving performance.

The mining and quarrying sector grew by 2.0% in Q1 2025, a moderation from the 7.6% expansion seen in Q1 2024. Uranium production surged by 36.5%, rebounding from a 10.0% decline in the previous year, supported by renewed global demand for nuclear energy amid the green transition. Metal ores, including zinc and gold, grew by 7.1%, benefiting from higher output and favourable international prices. In contrast, diamond mining declined by 4.0% due to weaker global demand and competition from lab-grown alternatives. Non-metallic minerals, such as marble, contracted by 2.6%, reflecting challenges in niche extraction segments. Mining remains a critical contributor to Namibia’s economy, accounting for 13.7% of GDP in Q1 2025.

The sector’s performance highlights its importance to export earnings and employment, particularly in uranium and base metals. However, infrastructure constraints, including limited transport networks, port capacity, and energy supply, continue to hinder growth. The report emphasizes that Namibia’s resource potential remains untapped without significant improvements in roads, ports, and transmission lines.

Global demand dynamics present both opportunities and risks. Uranium’s strong performance aligns with the worldwide shift toward clean energy, while diamond mining faces sustained pressure from changing consumer preferences. Government infrastructure investments, particularly in energy and water, could support mining activity if implemented effectively.

Simonis Storm revised Namibia’s full-year GDP growth forecast from 3.8% to 3.3%, reflecting sectoral imbalances and external risks. For the mining sector, uranium and metal ores are projected to grow by 4.6% and 6.0%, respectively, in 2025. Diversification and value addition, especially in critical minerals and local processing, will be key to sustaining long-term growth. Addressing infrastructure gaps and ensuring policy stability will also be critical to unlocking further investment in exploration and production.

Namibia’s mining sector remains a vital driver of economic growth, with uranium and base metals offering positive prospects despite global uncertainties. Strategic reforms and targeted investments will be essential to securing the industry’s future potential.

Source: Simonis Storm Securities, Namibia Statistics Agency

Check Also

Weir Pushes System Redesign to Unlock Lower Carbon Mining

Mining’s decarbonisation challenge is increasingly being tackled at the level of system design. For Weir, …